Atlas Intel (I) Trump 49% Harris 49%
Rassmussen (R) Trump 49% Harris 47%
Trafalgar (R) Trump 47% Harris 46%
Insider Advantage (R) Trump 49% Harris 48%
Marist (A) Trump 50% Harris 49%
Suffolk (A) Trump 48% Harris 42%
Fox (A) Trump 51% Harris 48%
Emerson (D) Trump 49% Harris 47%
PPP (D) Trump 49% Harris 47%
NYT/Sienna (D) Trump 51% Harris 49%
Current Registration (as of July):
Republican 1,454,966 (35.41%) Democrat 1,195,696 (29.1%)
2022 Registration:
Republican 1,436,852 (34.64%) Democrat 1,270,544 (30.66%)
2020 Registration:
Republican 1,508,778 (35.24%) Democrat 1,378,324 (32.2%)
2020: Joe Biden 49.4% vs Donald Trump 49.1%.
2016: Hillary Clinton 45.1% vs Donald Trump 48.7%
2012: Barrack Obama 44.6% vs Mitt Romney 53.7%
2008: Barrack Obama 45.1% vs John McCain 53.6%
2004: John Kerry 44.4% vs George Bush 54.9%
2000: Al Gore 44.7% vs George Bush 51%
Arizona while remaining a battleground state. Continues to be Donald Trump's easiest swing-state victory. With polling, voter registration trends, and our forecast all in agreement, Donald Trump seems poised to retake Arizona and it's 11 electoral votes this year.